深刻的教誨老師的淚優(yōu)秀作文
The following appeared in a letter from a firm providing investment advice for a client.

"Most homes in the northeastern United States, where winters are typically cold, have traditionally used oil as their major fuel for heating. Last heating season that region experienced 90 days with below-normal temperatures, and climate forecasters predict that this weather pattern will continue for several more years. Furthermore, many new homes are being built in the region in response to recent population growth. Because of these trends, we predict an increased demand for heating oil and recommend investment in Consolidated Industries, one of whose major business operations is the retail sale of home heating oil."
Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted.
解析
Step One
文章共4句話,各自的核心意思是:
1、美國東北部大多數(shù)家庭用燃油取暖;
2、上個取暖季經(jīng)歷了90天低于常溫的氣候,以及未來將會持續(xù)若干年;
3、此外,因為人口增長,許多新的房屋正在被建造;
4、所以,我們預(yù)測燃油需求會增加以及投資C公司,它的業(yè)務(wù)之一是銷售家庭用燃油。
Step Two
文章的結(jié)構(gòu)是:
1、是背景;
2、3推導(dǎo)出4;
Step Three
尋找邏輯錯誤
a. 數(shù)據(jù)問題:90天不一定長;
b. 論據(jù)含糊:專家預(yù)測;
c. 時間外推:許多新房屋也會用燃油取暖;
d. 利潤問題:C公司會很好。
難點總結(jié)
本題難點在于:從字面上找到的邏輯錯誤沒法用常規(guī)的方式攻擊,需要轉(zhuǎn)變思路。然而萬變不離其宗,明白邏輯錯誤的原理,合適很容易解決問題的。
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